Phase Streaming is a concept I picked up for the underappreciated and underloved portions of our seasonal lineups; defenses and kickers. The concept here is finding a kicker that a manager can start for multiple weeks. Doing so allows the manager to focus on other waiver pick ups throughout the week. When I am projecting kickers, I would want to stream moving forward. I look at quite a few things:

  • Median over average points scored; gives an indication of if the kicker is more likely to outscore their average.
  • The teams rank in total offensive yards and third down efficiency; teams that sustain drives score more points.
  • Accuracy is as it seems, accurate kickers score more points. Percentage of kicks of at least 40-yards or more, longer kicks make for more fantasy points.
  • Vegas totals; Jennifer Eakin wrote a great piece on why Vegas totals offer an indication of what scoring range a kicker can fall into.
  • Average field goals per game, more field goal attempts lead to more points

Here are my priority picks for kicker the next three weeks.

Nick Folk (46.4-percent rostered)

  • Median PPG over Average- Yes 10.6 Average FPPG
  • Top-12 Offense – No
  • 3rd down Efficiency – Yes
  • Accuracy – 93-percent
  • Percent of Field Goals over 40 yards – 46.66-percent
  • Average Field Goals per game – 3
  • Vegas Totals – Week 6: 50.5, Week 7: 43, Week 8: 46.5

I was fully prepared for Folks roster percentage to put him out of reach, yet he isn’t. Despite being on an offense that isn’t Top-12, the Patriot’s third down efficiency is driving the offense. Compiled with Folk averaging three field goals a game, and almost half of them beyond 40-yards makes Folk a high upside player. Folk offers a floor of 8-9 points a game, with the opportunity to grow as Mac assimilates to the NFL and the Patriots offense.

Mason Crosby (17.4-percent rostered)

Median PPG over Average- Yes 9 Average FPPG
Top-12 Offense – No
3rd down Efficiency – Yes
Accuracy – 77-percent
Percent of Field Goals over 40 yards – 53.84-percent
Average Field Goals per game – 2.6
Vegas Totals – Week 6: 44.5, Week 7: 49.5, Week 8: 51

Crosby is a very scary kicker to roster, especially for a league that deducts points for missed field goals. Prior to that bizarre Week 5 game, Crosby had not missed a field goal. Tied to an offense that is averaging over 29 points the last four weeks. The only reason Crosby isn’t the top priority add is that he has what is expected to be a low scoring game this weekend. After that he is a kicker you can ride for till the bye week.

Chase McLaughlin (20.8-percent rostered)

Median PPG over Average- No 9.6 Average FPPG
Top-12 Offense – Yes
3rd down Efficiency – No
Accuracy – 100-percent
Percent of Field Goals over 40 yards – 36.36-percent
Average Field Goals per game – 1.8
Vegas Totals – Week 6: 49.5, Week 7: 44.5, Week 8: 47

Excluding Week 1, McLaughlin has been a consistent fantasy score thus far this year. Though he has a low average of field goals per game, the Browns are averaging 2.6 touchdowns per game. Some points of concern for me are he’s less likely to exceed his average per game and the percentage of field goals a game he has. Though taking away his week 1 performance, his average is 2.25, is much more appealing. McLaughlin has appeal to fantasy rosters as long as he maintains his 100-percent kicking accuracy, not having the volume to afford a miss.

Matt Prater (50.9-percent rostered)

Median PPG over Average- No 7 Average FPPG
Top-12 Offense -Yes
3rd down Efficiency – No
Accuracy – 73-percent
Percent of Field Goals over 40 yards – 45.45-percent
Average Field Goals per game – 2.2
Vegas Totals – Week 6: 49.5, Week 7: 50, Week 8: 51

Prater is tied to a high-power offense with a team that is facing big scoring totals each week. The issue for Prater is most of his points are coming via extra points instead of field goals. For comparison, the Cardinals are averaging 3.8 touchdowns a game and only 2.2 field goal attempts per game. This gives Prater a steady floor but limits his ceiling, especially since less than half of his kicks are beyond 40 yards. Prater’s floor is good, but his ceiling is less than desirable.

Ryan Succop (33.3-percent rostered)

Median PPG over Average – No 8.2 Average FPPG
Top-12 Offense – Yes
3rd down Efficiency – Yes
Accuracy – 78-percent
Percent of Field Goals over 40 yards – 44.44-percent
Average Field Goals per game – 1.8
Vegas Totals – Week 6: 52.5, Week 7: 48, Week 8: 51.5

Succop is suffering a similar fate as Butker is; the offense is so effective scoring touchdowns, field goals are rarely needed. The Buccaneers are averaging 4.2 touchdowns a game and only 1.8 field goals a game. Limiting the upside Succop offers but delivering a very steady floor. If the Buccaneers start to regress in the touchdown department even by one touchdown a game, Succop becomes a much more enticing fantasy option.

If you are looking for a consistent kicker for the next three weeks, these kickers are suited to deliver and hopefully give you a few boom weeks in the process.