Deciphering Snap Counts: Week 2

Deciphering Snap Counts: Week 2

I will be looking into the snap count for Week 2 to see what new information can be used to help gain an advantage for the rest of the season.

New York Giants vs. Washington Football Team

New York Giants

Once again, Sterling Shepard, Saquon Barkley, and Kenny Golladay dominated snap counts with 93-percent (64) and 84-percent (58) for Barkley and Golladay. When Evan Engram comes back into the starting lineup, he will be looking at Kyle Rudolph’s snap count, which was 71-percent (49). The targets are going to have to come from someone, Shepard, Rudolph, and Slayton are the key candidates. When Engram gets the start, this should be a much different segment.

Washington Football Team

Terry McLaurin and Dyami Brown registered the highest snap total for offensive skill positions with 100-percent (71) and 87-percent (50). Adam Humphries is the entrenched third wide receiver, logging 70-percent (50), with the fourth wide receiver logging 11-percent (8). The news here is the subtle snap change with Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic. Gibson dipped slightly from 65-percent to 61-percent (43) and McKissic from 35-percent to 44-percent (31). A lot of that is contributed to McKissic’s role in the two-minute drill and third downs. Gibson is eating, dominating the first and second down touches, but won’t reach his ceiling this year if he doesn’t get more involved in McKissic’s current role.

New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints

Marquez Callaway led the wide receiver room with 73-percent (32) of snaps, with Lil’Jordan Humphries reaching the second with 55-percent (24). The Saints only ran forty-four offensive snaps. It is tough to get a lot of fantasy production from that low of offensive plays. The biggest takeaway is that Adam Trautman had a reduction of snaps from 82-percent of snaps to 52-percent (23). Compounded without a single target, I am about ready to let his ship sail into the night for this year. Where Juwan Johnson had his snaps go from 19-percent to 41-percent (18). Johnson seems to be in the midst of overtaking Trautman at the tight end position. Tony Jones Jr. saw a reduction of snaps from 35-percent to 27-percent (12), and we saw Ty Montgomery jump from 26-percent to 32-percent (14).

Carolina Panthers

Once again, DJ Moore was atop of the wide receiver food chain with 88-percent (67). Robby Anderson, who may be this year’s biggest surprise and disappointment thus far, reached 74-percent (56), while Terrace Marshall Jr. finished with 51-percent (39). Ian Thomas jumped from 55-percent to 68-percent but failed to create any fantasy production. Dan Arnold saw a reduction in snaps of 52-percent to 29-percent (22), he managed to be the produce fifty five yards from three receptions. Unfortunately for fantasy managers, Arnold is not going to offer much upside week to week.

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Chicago Bears

Cincinnati Bengals

As theorized last week, the snap count between Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins was much closer this week, logging 93-percent (51) to 91-percent (50). Tyler Boyd logged 87-percent (48) of snaps offering a little insight into the usage Boyd could see dependent on game script, which is what this weekly series is driving towards unveiling. Boyd saw an uptick in snaps with the Bengals trailing compared to a neutral game script, which leads me to believe his snaps will drop down when the Bengals are in a positive game script. More encouragingly, Joe Mixon saw an increase in snaps even with the Bengals trailing, going from 78-percent to 84-percent (46). Chase seeing such a reduction in targets was a bit of a surprise, going from a target share of 25.92-percent in Week 1 to 13.13-percent in Week 2. It will be interesting to see where he falls in Week 3.

Chicago Bears

Allen Robinson 80-percent (52) once again saw fewer snaps than Darnell Mooney’s 89-percent (58). Mooney is getting the volume and snaps to start being viewed as a weekly fantasy starter. Where Robinson saw only four targets this week, turning that into twenty-four yards. The good news is that three of those four targets were in the end zone. The bad news was that he only saw a target share of 16.66-percent. David Montgomery saw 80-percent (52) of the snaps and four targets this game. The Bears were leading most of this game, potentially showing that Montgomery’s workload may be game script-dependent erasing his upside potential.

Houston Texans vs. Cleveland Browns

Houston Texans

Brandin Cooks logged 92-percent (56) of the snaps and a 48.27-percent target share this week. Mark Ingram saw the highest amount of carries with 14 but averaged 2.9 yards per carry but the second-most snaps in the running back room with 31-percent (19). With Davis Mills, there may be some fantasy opportunity with these running backs, but right now, there holds very little.

Cleveland Browns

With Landry going down with an injury and finding himself on the injured reserve, the Browns turned to their tight end room to support the passing game. Donovan Peoples-Jones logged 75-percent of the snaps but managed only one target. This seems like a sell high moment for Peoples-Jones. Austin Hooper led the tight end room in snaps with 69-percent (42), David Njoku got the second most with 59-percent (36), and Harrison Bryant third with 51-percent (31). The tight ends occupied 57.14-percent of the target share for this game, and I don’t see that changing even with Odell Beckham Jr looking to get his first game started in Week 3. Hooper is an easy play each week, with Bryant looking promising again, capitalizing on his opportunity and making plays. Bryant should be a prioritized add-in to any future trades in the dynasty.

L.A. Rams vs. Indianapolis Colts

L.A. Rams

Cooper Kupp is the entrenched wide receiver one of the group, logging the highest snap share of 100-percent (59) and having a 37.5-percent target share into the season. Even though Tyler Higbee logged another 100-percent (59) snap share, he failed to capitalize on that this week. Robert Woods got back into form, reaching 98-percent (58) of the snaps and getting a 30-percent target share this week. Van Jefferson is not going anywhere with 92-percent (54) of the snaps, creating a high upside stash if Kupp or Woods misses any time. The running backs played out as expected until Henderson sustained a rib cartilage injury. No other backs are worth a roster spot other than Michel.

Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Jr. led the team in targets with twelve and almost tied Zach Pascal snap share of 91-percent (61) with 90-percent (60). Jack Doyle reached a 75-percent (50) snap count and reached eight targets this week. Regardless of the quarterback Doyle has upside in this offense and on fantasy rosters. The biggest crime this week was that Jonathan Taylor logged 45-percent of the snaps, if Taylor cannot be trusted in negative game scripts he loses his upside. Mike Strachan saw an increase in his snaps count from 24-percent to 51-percent (34). A name to monitor moving forward if he can get involved in the passing game.

Denver Broncos vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Denver Broncos

The joy it brings me to see Courtland Sutton dominating a stat sheet is indescribable, especially with his tying Noah Fant as the leading snap count for an offensive skill position of 77-percent (53). Coincidentally, they both lead the team in targets. Tim Patrick logged 74-percent (51) of the snaps, and to my surprise, K.J. Hamler reached 71-percent (49). Patrick is still determined to be the third or fourth receiving option on the team if Bridgewater continues to target his tight ends at a high rate (29.41-percent). Albert Okwuegbunam reached 54-percent (37) of the snaps. Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams had a bigger disparity of a snap count, with Gordon reaching 59-percent and Williams reaching 41-percent. However, Williams saw the same amount of rush attempts but doubled Gordon’s production on the ground. It is early, but Williams is doing the right things to show the coaching staff he deserves more of the carries.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Urban Meyers (Suburban Urban) said they threw too many times in Week 1, but this week they still threw 67-percent of the time. This reflects in the wide receivers snap count, with Marvin Jones Jr. reaching 88-percent (49), D.J. Chark and Laviska Shenault both logged 80-percent (45). Jones Jr. has twenty targets on the season, with Shenault getting 17 and Chark with 16. Jones Jr. leads the team in receiving yards, with Chark in second. Leaving Shenault in a weird fantasy purgatory with opportunity but minimal production. Which can be attributed to his usage in this offense as Suburban Urban refuses to use him as a mismatch nightmare. James Robinson saw much usage with a better snap count of 73-percent (41) and more touches of 14. Even more encouraging for Robinson was Carlos Hyde has a 25-percent (14) of the snaps. The issue here is that with Suburban Urban, this entire offense is fragmented at best, dwindling any fantasy value outside of Jones Jr.

Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills

Though this game got out of hand quickly, the main snap counts stayed consistent from last week. The most notable snap count for me is that Gabriel Davis only saw 32-percent (21) of snaps without a single target this week. His opportunity may be linked to one of the top three wide receivers missing time. Dawson Knox also saw a significant snap count with 83-percent (54) and was able to convert his three targets into two catches for seventeen yards and a touchdown. His fantasy value, similar to Davis, waits for an opportunity to open up. Devin Singletary is a thing, it seems. With Josh Allen needing to do less to win games, Singletary is given the role of the workhorse for this offense, reaching a 66-percent (43) snap count.

Miami Dolphins

This game got out of hand quickly with the Tua departure. A few quick take away with Will Fuller out again this week Jaylen Waddle was second for wide receivers with a 64-percent (47) snap count. Mike Gesicki saw a resurgence this week with Brissett at the helm logging a 64-percent (47) snap count and six targets. Myles Gaskin reached a 61-percent (45) snap share but only managed 9 opportunities in that offense. No time to panic just yet until his snap count begins to drop.

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

New England Patriots

Even though the Patriots routed the Jets, the wide receivers logged a high snap count. Jakobi Meyers got 90-percent (52), and Nelson Agholor had 86-percent (50) of the snaps. Hunter Henry also surpassed Jonnu Smith this week, reaching 81-percent (47) of snaps though that could be related to Smith being limited the week prior with a hip injury. James White had the most snaps with 50-percent (29), with Damian Harris reaching 51-percent (24) snaps. Harris did lead the backfield in touches, with 17 doing most of his damage on the ground. Harris remains a league scoring-dependent fantasy asset.

New York Jets

Elijah Moore reached 78-percent (57) of the snaps, the highest on the team with Tyler Kroft 75-percent (55) and Corey Davis 73-percent (53) trailing behind. Similar to last year, Moore is getting the snap count you want to see and now was peppered with eight targets, only second to Braxton Berrios. Michael Carter and Ty Johnson both logged 45-percent (33) of the snaps. Carter saw one more touch than Johnson and all three targets. Tevin Coleman logged 10-percent (7) of the snaps. Unfortunately, both running backs hold minimal value until one back gets more opportunity.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel once again lead the wide receivers in offensive snaps with 70-percent (49). Brandon Aiyuk, 54-percent (38), out-snapped Trent Sherfield 34-percent (24) by a fair margin. However, Sherfield saw one more target than Aiyuk. This saga is far from over, but the trend is positive for Aiyuk in redraft leagues. Elijah Mitchell logged 61-percent (43) of the snaps, with JaMycal Hasty with 36-percent (25). Though Mitchell was very inefficient with his opportunities averaging 2.65 yards per carry, he will once again benefit from being the last healthy person standing. George Kittle logged 100-percent (70) but has been giving an extremely disappointing production. More surprisingly, the opportunity has not been there with a 16.07-percent season target share.

Philadelphia Eagles

Devonta Smith, 84-percent (49), and Jalen Reagor, 72-percent (42), had the highest snaps once again of offensive skill position players. Since I am a Reagor truther, it feels necessary to say he did have a 40-yard touchdown called back due to his heel touching the out-of-bounds line. Miles Sanders reached a 67-percent (39) snap count this week but only registering 14 touches. If you remember, the magic number of touches for a Top-24 back hovers between 16-19 a week. Dallas Goedert registered 66-percent (38) of the snaps, and while he had minimal production. Goedert could see an opportunity boost with Zach Ertz landing on the Covid-19 list this week. Fortunately for Smith and Reagor the targets are consolidated between the two of them as they combined for more targets than the rest of the pass-catchers combined.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Las Vegas Raiders

Bryan Edwards led the wide receiver room with a snap count of 74-percent (49), with Henry Ruggs III getting 67-percent (44) and Hunter Renfrow hitting 44-percent (29). Though Edwards had two big plays called back due to penalty one that would have resulted in a touchdown, Ruggs III was the leading producer on the week. Darren Waller had a snap count of 92-percent (61) and, while not being involved in the first half of the game, finished with 5 receptions for 65 yards. Josh Jacobs was out this week, opening an opportunity for Peyton Barber, who saw 29-percent (19) of the snaps and 13 carries though he was unable to capitalize on the opportunity given. Kenyan Drake, however, had 71-percent (47) of the snaps and while he is terribly efficient as a runner is one of three running backs who have over 100 receiving yards (h/t Bryan Magnamaro).

Pittsburgh Steelers

Once again, Pat Freiermuth, 59-percent (33), out-snapped Eric Ebron 43-percent (24). However, Ebron is averaging more routes ran over Freiermuth 16.5 to 14.5. Juju Smith-Schuster 96-percent (54), Diontae Johnson 88-percent (49), and Chase Claypool 77-percent (43) lead the wide receiver room in snaps. Claypool was the second most targeted player this week with 9 targets, and I am told a few incompletions were turned nearly into completions. Najee Harris logged 95-percent (53) of the snaps and only reached ten carries for an average of 3.8 yards a carry. The good news is that Harris converted all five of his targets into forty-three yards and a touchdown. Harris will need the passing game for him to remain locked in as a Top-24 running back.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals

Minnesota Vikings

Adam Thielen 100-percent (61), Justin Jefferson 87-percent (53), and K.J. Osborn 59-percent (36) were the three highest snap counts at wide receiver. As mentioned in last week’s article, the Vikings dipped their 11 personnel formation. The good news is the three wide receivers accounted for 71.85-percent of the target share this week. The bad news is that is it split three ways instead of two. Most likely to ensure better protection of Kirk Cousins and to help ignite their running game. Which it most assuredly did with Dalvin Cook getting 77-percent (47) of the snaps and reaching 24 touches on the game for a combined 148 total yards. Cook did sustain an injury which is something to monitor for this upcoming week. Alexander Mattison got 21-percent (13) of the snaps, far more than Abdullah’s 2-percent (1). Making Mattison the clear handcuff for Cook.

Arizona Cardinals

Rondale Muthafudging Moore has the most targets on the team while having the lowest of the four wide receivers snap count with 49-percent (28). While his touchdown resulted from a busted coverage, his usage combined with a suppressed snap count is beyond encouraging. If Moore can average a touch every 3.5 snaps, his ceiling explodes once he gets a snap share closer to his counterparts. DeAndre Hopkins 97-percent (59), A.J. Green 84-percent (51), and Christian Kirk 62-percent (38) lead the wide receivers in the snap count. The wide receiver room accounted for 61.11-percent of the target share this week. Chase Edmonds got 64-percent (39) of the snaps and saw 13 touches, compared to James Conner getting 39-percent (24) and seeing 8 touches. Edmonds averaged 5.76 yards per touch, where Conner averaged 3.3 yards per touch. Edmonds may have a capped upside, but he figures to be a strong PPR flex play moving forward. The second biggest surprise was the arrival of Maxx Williams, logging 74-percent (45) of the snaps and converting all seven targets into 94 yards.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons

Calvin Ridley, 83-percent (60), Kyle Pitts, 79-percent (57), and Mike Davis, 64-percent (46), lead the team in offensive skill position snaps. The biggest disappointment of the bunch being Davis seeing 16 touches but only averaging 3.93 yards per touch. Ridley returned to expectations consuming 21.76-percent of the targets and converting that into 63 yards and a touchdown. Pitts has yet to be as heavily involved reaching a 13.04-percent target share this week but converting it into 73 yards. With Russell Gage injuring his ankle, Olamide Zaccheaus got 58-percent (42) of the snaps and four targets. However, the target distribution was spread out this week. Next week figures to condense as they will be playing a much more friendly opponent in the New York Giants. Cordarrelle Patterson saw only 33-percent (24) of the snaps but got 12 touches and averaged 5.75 yards per touch, mostly coming through the air. The snap counts of Davis and Patterson could be converging very shortly in the coming weeks.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Chris Godwin, 89-percent (56), Rob Gronkowski 81-percent (51), and Mike Evans 73-percent (46) lead the pass catchers in snaps. Evans had a resurgence game leading the team in targets, yards, and tying with touchdowns. More surprisingly was the minimal involvement of Antonio Brown, only getting 44-percent (28) of the snaps and three targets. Godwin figures to be involved each week, but his ceiling is low due to the rotating big games from Evans, Gronk, and Brown. Gronkowski’s involvement in the offense may provide the biggest Homer Simpson “Doh” moment for me this year. Leonard Fournette reached 49-percent (31) of the snaps while receiving 15 touches on the week, averaging 5.06 yards per touch. In comparison, Ronald Jones got 41-percent (26) of the snaps and 7 touches on the week. This Wednesday, Bruce Arians stated Jones play “isn’t as good as it should be” meaning that snap split could sustain itself until Jones improves.

Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Chargers

Dallas Cowboys

Ezekiel Elliot returned to form, taking his 71-percent (44) snaps and converting that into 18 touches for 97 yards and a touchdown. Shockingly, that performance was dwarfed by Tony Pollard, who took his 34-percent (21) snap count and got 16 touches for 140 yards and a touchdown. Cedric Wilson, who was mentioned last week to see an increase in snaps, saw 58-percent (36) of the snaps and hardly any offensive involvement. Telling me that unless the game is set up to be a high-scoring affair, Wilson is best left on the bench or waiver wire. Dalton Schultz 73-percent (45) out-snapped Blake Jarwin 47-percent (29), but Jarwin outproduced Schultz this week. Making them both unstartable in any fantasy asset without further opportunity.

Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are still the guys to own in the receiving room, but Jaylen Guyton’s 70-percent (50) of the snaps would see an increased opportunity if either were to miss time. Justin Jackson, 23-percent (16), out-snapped Larry Rountree II 14-percent (10) and out-touched him. The days of finding Austin Ekelers thunder may be gone in the wind. Ekeler registered a 63-percent (45) snap count while producing 18 touches and averaging 6.38 yards per touch. Jared Cook remains the pass-catcher getting 59-percent (42) of the snaps and five targets.

Tennessee Titans vs. Seattle Seahawks

I like to call this matchup the spider man meme matchup because they are near identical clones when it comes to personnel and philosophy.

Tennessee Titans

The condensed target tree of the Titans is going to prove fruitful for fantasy managers. Julio Jones logged 75-percent (66) snaps converting 8 targets into 6 receptions and 128 yards. A.J. Brown saw 84-percent (74) of the snap and 9 targets but failing to create the opportunity into a meaningful stat line, only managing 3 receptions for 43 yards. Being at the game, Brown left what I would estimate nearly 80 yards on the field. No need to panic on him this early in the season. Derrick Henry saw 76-percent (67) of the snaps and an impressive 41 touches, 6 of which per receptions.

Seattle Seahawks

Similar to the Titans, fantasy managers benefit from a consolidated target tree in Seattle. Tyler Lockett got 93-percent (50) of the snaps and yet again created an incredible 8 receptions for 178 yards and 1 touchdown game. While D.K. Metcalf saw 94-percent (51) of the snaps he matched Lockette’s 11 targets, meaning he will get his sooner than later. Gerald Everett saw 80-percent (43) of the snaps but only two targets. The good news is that he saw a much bigger snap share than Will Dissly this week. Chris Carson remains the lone back of value with 63-percent (34), but of concern, he did not reach a single target this week.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens

Kansas City Chiefs

The biggest surprise of the game was Mecole Hardmans 78-percent (40) of snaps and reaching 8 targets which he converted into 5 receptions for 55 yards. This is mainly related to the Ravens locking down Tyreek Hill. Clyde Edwards-Helaire saw 65-percent (33) of the snaps but only saw 13 touches. Edwards-Helaire’s biggest fantasy issue is not himself but the fact the team can succeed and score a high volume of points without him as a major contributor.

Baltimore Ravens

Sammy Watkins, 92-percent (70), Mark Andrews 75-percent (57) and Marquise Brown 72-percent (55) lead the teams in offensive skill position snaps. They also accounted for 84.61-percent of the team’s target share. Brown had an absolute barn burner of a week continuing his hot start to the season. The main ball carriers Ty’Son Williams 49-percent (37) and Latavius Murray, 36-percent (27), were close in snaps. Williams remains to have an edge as he got the pass-catching work for the running backs and had four more carries than Murray. Though once again, Murray found his way into the end zone. A cluttered backfield, but Williams is still holding his lead-back title.

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers

Detroit Lions

The top wide receivers in snap count this week were Quintez Cephus 89-percent (51), Khalif Raymond 62-percent (36), and Amon-Ra St. Brown, 60-percent (34). Cephus and St. Brown lead the room in targets combining for a 33.33-percent target share. Cephus is the one to watch here as the second-year wide receiver is creating a role for himself with St. Brown getting involved more slowly. T.J Hockenson 93-percent (53), D’Andre Swift 63-percent (36), and Jamaal Williams 39-percent (22) combined for 47.22-percent of the team’s target share. Williams had the biggest decline in opportunity and production, which may be the case of Swift ramping up to handle more work in the future weeks.

Green Bay Packers

I guess they are not a dumpster fire after all. Who would have thought (sarcasm)? Davante Adams and Aaron Jones are the studs on the team, but of interest, Marquez Valdez-Scantling and Allen Lazard had a near identical snap share of 66-percent (43) and 65-percent (42). However, Lazard went without a single target. Robert Tonyan had the lowest snap count in the tight end room of 43-percent (28) but had the most production with 3 receptions for 52 yards and a touchdown. A.J. Dillion had a snap count of 29-percent (19) and saw 6 touches. It seems the likelihood of Dillion replicating Jamaal Williams’s fantasy production in Green Bay is a mere fantasy.

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