The City of Paris’ motto is ‘Fluctuat nec mergitur’ or, to those of us who don’t know French, “She is rocked by the waves but does not sink.” People, just like cities, can recover from bad times. Will Fuller before this year had never played an entire season and never topped 85.2 fantasy points, however we all saw his connection with DeShaun Watson and knew he could be a great fantasy asset. He is now fully healthy and pacing to double his best fantasy finish to date, and all because he got over that soft tissue injury plague. He is currently the WR18 and looks to continue his current 6 game TD streak.
This is how I see Parris Campbell. He was a dynamic player at Ohio State and was at least 97th percentile in 40-yard dash, speed, and burst. He finished his senior year at OSU with 90 catches for just over 1000 yards and an insane 90% catch rate. When healthy this season, he was on the field for 84% of plays, ran 28 routes and commanded 9 targets with 6 receptions for 71 yards, and looked every bit of the training camp hype. Parris Campbell lived in the slot during college and should get that opportunity again when healthy while Michael Pittman and TY Hilton cover X and Y receiver positions, as evidenced by his 95% slot snap share in week 1.
Let’s take a deeper look at his week 1 routes via NFL Next Gen Stats:
Campbell is now going to get the opportunity to play with Phillip Rivers for … 2 years? Parris will primarily run in Phillips best performing areas like the out (4th), dig (5th), and cross (5th) in the NFL among qualified QB’s according to Football Outsiders. Simply put, Parris has the opportunity to shine because his best routes are where Phillip is the most successful. Regardless of who the QB of the future is in Indy, the slot position is one routinely utilized by the most dynamic offenses, and that’s where Parris seems to fit.
Comparison-wise, the player I could see Parris turning into (to stick with a tie to Phillip Rivers) is Keenan Allen. They are both around 6’2” and weigh in around 205 lbs. Per Matt Harmons reception perception, in Keenan Allen’s last year with Phillip Rivers he ran the routes shown above in Campbell’s chart an astonishing 57% of routes and was successful on average 84.5% of the time. The one key factor we have yet to see consistently is if Parris can compete with Keenan Allen’s route running ability. Per thedraftnetwork.com, Parris, “got open consistently short-intermediate. Good hip snap to break off patterns at the top and separate.” All things considered, maybe I am clouded by what Parris could be versus what he actually is, but I think it is worth the gamble.
A low stakes gamble, as I’m about to show:
Dynasty Nerds: WR58 around AJ Green, TY Hilton, Curtis Samuel, Jamison Crowder
PlayerProfiler: WR67 around Marvin Jones, N’Keal Harry, Rim Patrick, Tre’Quan Smith
FantasyPros: WR56 around Corey Davis, TY Hilton, N’Keal Harry
Recent trades via DLF
Looking at the trades above, Parris Campbell is available on the cheap and, especially if you are a rebuilding team, I don’t think you will regret acquiring him. He could bust or be plagued by injuries, OR he could be a perennial WR1/2 tied to an ascending offense as their ‘Keenan Allen’.